Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003401 0.003794 0.004204 0.004663 0.005160 0.005682 0.006271
2024-10-20 0.002703 0.003244 0.003839 0.004540 0.005339 0.006218 0.007254
2024-10-27 0.002324 0.002941 0.003649 0.004513 0.005533 0.006691 0.008096
2024-11-03 0.002016 0.002675 0.003457 0.004442 0.005638 0.007032 0.008766
2024-11-10 0.001799 0.002489 0.003334 0.004428 0.005790 0.007413 0.009473
2024-11-17 0.001606 0.002313 0.003204 0.004386 0.005892 0.007722 0.010087
2024-11-24 0.001502 0.002240 0.003193 0.004486 0.006164 0.008237 0.010958
2024-12-01 0.001332 0.002062 0.003031 0.004377 0.006159 0.008400 0.011386
2024-12-08 0.001219 0.001954 0.002953 0.004369 0.006278 0.008714 0.012005
2024-12-15 0.001178 0.001943 0.003003 0.004530 0.006620 0.009321 0.013006
2024-12-22 0.001109 0.001884 0.002981 0.004591 0.006826 0.009750 0.013784
2024-12-29 0.001067 0.001862 0.003010 0.004719 0.007124 0.010304 0.014734
2025-01-05 0.001029 0.001847 0.003048 0.004866 0.007457 0.010920 0.015789
2025-01-12 0.000918 0.001708 0.002899 0.004736 0.007399 0.011009 0.016145
2025-01-19 0.000844 0.001623 0.002824 0.004709 0.007482 0.011286 0.016754
2025-01-26 0.000766 0.001525 0.002721 0.004635 0.007492 0.011459 0.017222
2025-02-02 0.000709 0.001457 0.002661 0.004621 0.007586 0.011748 0.017850
2025-02-09 0.000651 0.001382 0.002586 0.004577 0.007632 0.011969 0.018386
2025-02-16 0.000627 0.001366 0.002604 0.004680 0.007898 0.012504 0.019368
2025-02-23 0.000563 0.001273 0.002490 0.004568 0.007834 0.012565 0.019680
2025-03-02 0.000524 0.001222 0.002443 0.004559 0.007927 0.012850 0.020314
2025-03-09 0.000518 0.001234 0.002504 0.004727 0.008294 0.013541 0.021537
2025-03-16 0.000495 0.001210 0.002501 0.004789 0.008498 0.013995 0.022427